As someone who bought a Mac-10 for $10k in Feb of this year, and as someone that has a Super Safety that I bought for $100. I can tell you with the utmost certainty, I will never spend $25k+ on a transferable AR lower or RDIS. It just doesn't make sense in a world where one can buy a drop in Super Safety for $100 with the trigger pre cut. Its just works too well. The cyclic rate is literally higher than a real full auto AR depending on buffer weight.
People are just now waking up to the super safety, there are already people working on the AK super safety and they are selling two position SS's in the facebook group for AK's already. It already exist for the AK! People also have made SS for .22 LR AR uppers. So long as FRT's remain legal, expect the market to EXPLODE on these. There will come a day when half of ARs being sold have SS pre installed from the factory. This is a real future we are about to see.
I have already seen sellers on Gunbroker selling SS AR's for $900. Thats not a bad deal for someone that doesnt want to fuss with installing a SS and has money. I had to fuss with mine and adjust it a few times before it would run right in my lower.
You need 3 things for a super safety to work:
- Low shelf lower or M16 pocket lower (high shelf can work but you're gonna have to dremel out material so the SS lever can move back far enough)
- Full auto BCG (almost all AR's come with this now, but my 2017 era Ruger AR-556 had a semi auto BCG, this will not work because the SS lever needs the full auto BCG profile to trip the lever correctly).
- mil spec upper (which is most uppers)
Congress could ban them by law, that is always possible, and of course folks in states like MA and Cali cant have FRTs, so they're stuck with what they have which is nothing. I guess you can technically own an MG in Mass, but its super rare and hard to get an MGL.
I do believe that if FRTs like the Super Safety dont get outlawed, they will absolutely ruin the transferable market, namely for AR style rifles and lowers. If there is no threat of them being illegal and the courts allow them, there is zero incentive to pay $25k+ for a transferable. Im sure they will always hold some value, but I dont see values going up long term anymore in super safety world. There is always the threat of Congress outlawing them after some horrible shooting, e.x. Vegas shooter type thing so transferables will always hold a premium but I could see a future where values stall out for many guns and may even drop some. I would expect demand to lower significantly once you're able to buy a SS AR from PSA for $499. Thats when you know its gonna get nasty in the transferable world.